North Carolina vs Virginia - Matchup Preview
Records
| Team | Overall W-L | Conf. W-L |
|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| North Carolina | 6-0 | 3-0 |
Opening Odds and Betting Trends
| Team | Spread | O/U | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | +23.5 | 56 | +1000 |
| North Carolina | -23.5 | 56 | -2000 |
| Team | ATS Record | Cover % | ATS +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | -0.3 |
| North Carolina | 5-1-0 | 83.3% | 8.3 |
| Team | O/U Record | PPG | O/U +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 3-2-1 | 21.4 | 7.1 |
| North Carolina | 3-3-0 | 37.3 | 1.8 |
| Virginia Offensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Name | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight | WR-X | Malachi Fields | RS SO | 0.83 | 3.3 | 6' 4'' | 220 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR-Z | JR Wilson | SO | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 4'' | 219 |
| WR-SL | Malik Washington | GR/TR | 0.88 | 3.8 | 5' 8'' | 194 |
| LT | McKale Boley | SO | 0.86 | 3.57 | 6' 4'' | 302 |
| LG | Noah Josey | RS SO | 0.89 | 3.89 | 6' 5'' | 315 |
| OC | Brian Stevens | GR/TR | 0.87 | 3.7 | 6' 2'' | 296 |
| RG | Ty Furnish | RS SO | 0.86 | 3.58 | 6' 3'' | 282 |
| RT | Ugonna Nnanna | SR/TR | 0.85 | 3.5 | 6' 4'' | 309 |
| TE | Sackett Wood Jr. | SR | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 4'' | 240 |
| QB | Tony Muskett | SR/TR | 0.88 | 3.8 | 6' 2'' | 206 |
| RB | Kobe Pace | SR/TR | 0.88 | 3.82 | 5' 10'' | 215 |
| Average | 0.84 | 3.36 | ||||
| North Carolina Defensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Name | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | Desmond Evans | SR | 0.98 | 4.98 | 6' 6'' | 275 |
| NT | Kevin Hester Jr. | RS SR | 0.85 | 3.51 | 6' 3'' | 315 |
| DT | Myles Murphy | SR | 0.93 | 4.44 | 6' 4'' | 310 |
| JACK | Kaimon Rucker | SR | 0.85 | 3.45 | 6' 1'' | 265 |
| MLB | Power Echols | JR | 0.94 | 4.52 | 6' 0'' | 225 |
| WLB | Cedric Gray | SR | 0.87 | 3.69 | 6' 2'' | 235 |
| FCB | Tayon Holloway | RS FR | 0.92 | 4.25 | 6' 0'' | 185 |
| FS | Giovanni Biggers | GR | 0.87 | 3.73 | 6' 1'' | 200 |
| BS | Don Chapman | SR | 0.87 | 3.7 | 6' 1'' | 200 |
| BCB | Marcus Allen | SO | 0.89 | 3.86 | 6' 1'' | 185 |
| STAR | Alijah Huzzie | JR/TR | 0.9 | 4.01 | 5' 10'' | 200 |
| Average | 0.9 | 4.01 | ||||
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide Receivers | 0.8 | 6' 1.3'' | 211 |
| Off. Linemen | 0.87 | 6' 3.6'' | 300.8 |
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Backs | 0.89 | 6' 0.7'' | 195 |
| Def. Linemen | 0.92 | 6' 4.3'' | 300 |
| North Carolina Offensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Starters | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR-X | Devontez Walker | RS JR/TR | 0.95 | 4.64 | 6' 2'' | 200 |
| WR-Z | J.J. Jones | JR | 0.89 | 3.9 | 6' 2'' | 210 |
| WR-SL | Kobe Paysour | RS SO | 0.89 | 3.86 | 6' 0'' | 190 |
| LT | Diego Pounds | RS SO | 0.88 | 3.79 | 6' 5'' | 330 |
| LG | Ed Montilus | GR | 0.87 | 3.74 | 6' 3'' | 315 |
| OC | Corey Gaynor | GR/TR | 0.84 | 3.4 | 6' 3'' | 305 |
| RG | Willie Lampkin | SR/TR | 0.88 | 3.8 | 5' 11'' | 290 |
| RT | Spencer Rolland | GR/TR | 0.87 | 3.7 | 6' 6'' | 315 |
| TE | John Copenhaver | RS JR | 0.88 | 3.83 | 6' 3'' | 240 |
| QB | Drake Maye | RS SO | 0.97 | 4.92 | 6' 4'' | 230 |
| RB | Omarion Hampton | SO | 0.95 | 4.58 | 6' 0'' | 220 |
| Average | 0.9 | 4.01 | ||||
| Virginia Defensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Starters | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | Bryce Carter | RS SO | 0.94 | 4.56 | 6' 3'' | 274 |
| NT | Jahmeer Carter | SR | 0.86 | 3.63 | 6' 2'' | 312 |
| DT | Aaron Faumui | SR | 0.83 | 3.25 | 6' 2'' | 302 |
| BAN | Chico Bennett Jr. | GR/TR | 0.86 | 3.56 | 6' 4'' | 252 |
| MLB | James Jackson | JR | 0.84 | 3.44 | 6' 3'' | 236 |
| WLB | Josh Ahern | RS SR | 0.85 | 3.52 | 6' 3'' | 236 |
| SPUR | Tayvonn Kyle | RS SR/TR | 0.85 | 3.5 | 5' 11'' | 181 |
| LCB | Coen King | RS SR | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 0'' | 194 |
| SS | Dave Herard | RS JR | 0.85 | 3.45 | 6' 0'' | 192 |
| FS | Jonas Sanker | JR | 0.85 | 3.48 | 6' 1'' | 210 |
| RCB | Sam Westfall | GR/TR | 0.84 | 3.36 | 5' 10'' | 183 |
| Average | 0.84 | 3.43 | ||||
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide Receivers | 0.91 | 6' 1.3'' | 200 |
| Off. Lineman | 0.87 | 6' 3.2'' | 311 |
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Backs | 0.81 | 6' 0.2'' | 194.8 |
| Def. Linemen | 0.88 | 6' 2.3'' | 296 |
Virginia Off. vs. North Carolina Def.
| Category | Virginia Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | North Carolina Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds/G | 252.8 | 51 | 233.6 | 87 | 245.8 | Opp. Pass Yds/G |
| Pass Yds/A | 8.3 | 34 | 7.4 | 38 | 6.8 | Opp. Pass Yds/A |
| Compl. % | 61.4% | 55 | 60.3% | 50 | 59.3% | Opp. Compl. % |
| Sack % Allowed | 10% | 115 | 6.6% | 53 | 6.9% | Sack % |
| Rush Yds/G | 75.2 | 125 | 148.3 | 27 | 114 | Opp. Rush Yds/G |
| Rush Yds/A | 2.1 | 132 | 4.1 | 39 | 3.7 | Opp. Rush Yds/A |
| Plays/G | 69 | 70 | 69.4 | 75 | 69.8 | Opp. Plays/G |
| Seconds/Play | 26.8 | 81 | 26 | 19 | 24.3 | Opp. Seconds/Play |
| Time of Poss % | 51.3% | 52 | 50% | 26 | 47% | Opp. Time of Poss % |
North Carolina Off. vs. Virginia Def.
| Category | North Carolina Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Virginia Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds/G | 317 | 13 | 233.6 | 53 | 229 | Opp. Pass Yds/G |
| Pass Yds/A | 8.9 | 21 | 7.4 | 68 | 7.5 | Opp. Pass Yds/A |
| Compl. % | 68.2% | 19 | 60.3% | 82 | 61.8% | Opp. Compl. % |
| Sack % Allowed | 7% | 82 | 6.6% | 127 | 3.2% | Sack % |
| Rush Yds/G | 184.3 | 28 | 148.3 | 108 | 183 | Opp. Rush Yds/G |
| Rush Yds/A | 4.4 | 51 | 4.1 | 96 | 4.6 | Opp. Rush Yds/A |
| Plays/G | 80.2 | 5 | 69.4 | 92 | 71.4 | Opp. Plays/G |
| Seconds/Play | 23.6 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 24.5 | Opp. Seconds/Play |
| Time of Poss % | 53% | 26 | 50% | 52 | 48.7% | Opp. Time of Poss % |
Down Analysis: Virginia Off. vs. North Carolina Def.
| Category | Virginia Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | North Carolina Def. | Category | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Down Pass % | 51.9% | 22 | 44.1% | 14 | 51.4% | Opp. 1st Down Pass % | |
| 1st Down Rush % | 48.1% | 112 | 55.9% | 120 | 48.6% | Opp. 1st Down Rush % | |
| 1st Down Pass Success % | 45.7% | 93 | 49.7% | 34 | 44.1% | Opp. 1st Down Pass Success % | |
| 1st Down Rush Success % | 39.1% | 128 | 50.7% | 80 | 50% | Opp. 1st Down Rush Success % | |
| 1st Down Explosiveness % | 12.2% | 80 | 13.2% | 106 | 14.4% | Opp. 1st Down Explosiveness % | |
| 1st Down Overall Success % | 42.5% | 126 | 50.4% | 56 | 47% | Opp. 1st Down Overall Success % | |
| 2nd Down Pass % | 42.9% | 102 | 49.1% | 7 | 60.6% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass % | |
| 2nd Down Rush % | 57.1% | 32 | 50.9% | 127 | 39.4% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush % | |
| 2nd Down Pass Success % | 48.1% | 49 | 44.7% | 74 | 44.2% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass Success % | |
| 2nd Down Rush Success % | 50% | 53 | 48.2% | 68 | 46% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush Success % | |
| 2nd Down Explosiveness % | 9.5% | 105.5 | 12.5% | 84 | 12.6% | Opp. 2nd Down Explosiveness % | |
| 2nd Down Overall Success % | 49.2% | 44 | 46.7% | 72 | 44.9% | Opp. 2nd Down Overall Success % | |
| 3rd Down Pass % | 62.7% | 70 | 62.4% | 48 | 66.7% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass % | |
| 3rd Down Rush % | 37.3% | 64 | 37.6% | 90 | 33.3% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush % | |
| 3rd Down Pass Success % | 34.6% | 69 | 34.8% | 28 | 28% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass Success % | |
| 3rd Down Rush Success % | 38.7% | 117 | 51.9% | 81 | 52% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush Success % | |
| 3rd Down Explosiveness % | 8.4% | 103 | 11.6% | 103.5 | 13.3% | Opp. 3rd Down Explosiveness % | |
| 3rd Down Conversion % | 34.3% | 98 | 39.3% | 32 | 34.2% | Opp. 3rd Down Conversion % |
Down Analysis: North Carolina Off. vs. Virginia Def.
| Category | North Carolina Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Virginia Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Down Pass % | 46.8% | 55 | 44.1% | 119 | 36.1% | Opp. 1st Down Pass % |
| 1st Down Rush % | 53.2% | 79 | 55.9% | 15 | 63.9% | Opp. 1st Down Rush % |
| 1st Down Pass Success % | 57.9% | 21 | 49.7% | 85 | 50.7% | Opp. 1st Down Pass Success % |
| 1st Down Rush Success % | 48.1% | 91 | 50.7% | 101 | 52.5% | Opp. 1st Down Rush Success % |
| 1st Down Explosiveness % | 10.8% | 96 | 13.2% | 122 | 16.8% | Opp. 1st Down Explosiveness % |
| 1st Down Overall Success % | 52.7% | 42 | 50.4% | 97 | 51.8% | Opp. 1st Down Overall Success % |
| 2nd Down Pass % | 52.9% | 43 | 49.1% | 115 | 43.8% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass % |
| 2nd Down Rush % | 47.1% | 91 | 50.9% | 19 | 56.3% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush % |
| 2nd Down Pass Success % | 48.1% | 49 | 44.7% | 64 | 42.9% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass Success % |
| 2nd Down Rush Success % | 58.3% | 9 | 48.2% | 74 | 47.2% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush Success % |
| 2nd Down Explosiveness % | 12.4% | 73 | 12.5% | 61 | 10.9% | Opp. 2nd Down Explosiveness % |
| 2nd Down Overall Success % | 52.9% | 18 | 46.7% | 76 | 45.3% | Opp. 2nd Down Overall Success % |
| 3rd Down Pass % | 54.3% | 115 | 62.4% | 113 | 56.8% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass % |
| 3rd Down Rush % | 45.7% | 19 | 37.6% | 21 | 43.2% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush % |
| 3rd Down Pass Success % | 47.1% | 9 | 34.8% | 79 | 34.8% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass Success % |
| 3rd Down Rush Success % | 58.1% | 38 | 51.9% | 75 | 51.4% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush Success % |
| 3rd Down Explosiveness % | 14.9% | 27 | 11.6% | 54 | 9.9% | Opp. 3rd Down Explosiveness % |
| 3rd Down Conversion % | 52.2% | 10 | 39.3% | 94 | 42% | Opp. 3rd Down Conversion % |
Redzone and Goal to Go: Virginia Off. vs. North Carolina Def.
| Category | Virginia Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | North Carolina Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redzone Pass % | 36.7% | 80 | 39.4% | 38 | 47.5% | Opp. Redzone Pass % |
| Redzone Rush % | 63.3% | 54 | 60.6% | 96 | 52.5% | Opp. Redzone Rush % |
| Redzone Pass Success % | 50% | 23 | 38.8% | 88 | 42.1% | Opp. Redzone Pass Success % |
| Redzone Rush Success % | 38.7% | 117 | 51.5% | 101 | 57.1% | Opp. Redzone Rush Success % |
| Redzone FG Atts (Season) | 5 | 75 | 5.4 | 110 | 3 | Opp. Redzone FG Atts (Season) |
| Redzone Plays/TD | 6.1 | 86 | 5.9 | 65 | 6.1 | Opp. Redzone Plays/TD |
| Goal to Go Pass % | 31.6% | 61 | 31.2% | 66 | 33.3% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass % |
| Goal to Go Rush % | 68.4% | 72 | 68.8% | 68 | 66.7% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush % |
| Goal to Go Pass Success % | 50% | 30 | 37.5% | 73 | 40% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass Success % |
| Goal to Go Rush Success % | 23.1% | 132 | 55.4% | 126 | 80% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush Success % |
| Goal to Go Plays/TD | 5.8 | 120 | 3.6 | 125 | 2.3 | Opp. Goal to Go Plays/TD |
Redzone and Goal to Go: North Carolina Off. vs. Virginia Def.
| Category | North Carolina Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Virginia Def. | Category | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redzone Pass % | 32.9% | 101 | 39.4% | 106 | 33.8% | Opp. Redzone Pass % | ||
| Redzone Rush % | 67.1% | 33 | 60.6% | 28 | 66.2% | Opp. Redzone Rush % | ||
| Redzone Pass Success % | 43.5% | 42 | 38.8% | 113 | 47.8% | Opp. Redzone Pass Success % | ||
| Redzone Rush Success % | 48.9% | 80 | 51.5% | 76 | 51.1% | Opp. Redzone Rush Success % | ||
| Redzone FG Atts (Season) | 7 | 107 | 5.4 | 129 | 2 | Opp. Redzone FG Atts (Season) | ||
| Redzone Plays/TD | 6.5 | 96 | 5.9 | 115 | 4.4 | Opp. Redzone Plays/TD | ||
| Goal to Go Pass % | 20.7% | 104 | 31.2% | 123 | 17.2% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass % | ||
| Goal to Go Rush % | 79.3% | 29 | 68.8% | 10 | 82.8% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush % | ||
| Goal to Go Pass Success % | 33.3% | 71 | 37.5% | 73 | 40% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass Success % | ||
| Goal to Go Rush Success % | 52.2% | 82 | 55.4% | 87 | 58.3% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush Success % | ||
| Goal to Go Plays/TD | 3.3 | 70 | 3.6 | 128 | 2.1 | Opp. Goal to Go Plays/TD |
