Duke vs NC State - Matchup Preview
Records
| Team | Overall W-L | Conf. W-L |
|---|---|---|
| NC State | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Duke | 4-1 | 1-0 |
Opening Odds and Betting Trends
| Team | Spread | O/U | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | +3.5 | 48 | +148 |
| Duke | -3.5 | 48 | -176 |
| Team | ATS Record | Cover % | ATS +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | -4.5 |
| Duke | 3-2-0 | 60% | 8.4 |
| Team | O/U Record | PPG | O/U +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 2-4-0 | 26 | 3.1 |
| Duke | 2-2-1 | 30.3 | -6.3 |
| NC State Offensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Name | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight | WR-X | Terrell Timmons Jr. | SO | 0.85 | 3.53 | 6' 2'' | 195 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR-Z | Keyon Lesane | SR | 0.85 | 3.51 | 5' 11'' | 202 |
| WR-H | Kevin Concepcion | FR | 0.88 | 3.83 | 5' 11'' | 187 |
| WR-Y | Julian Gray | RS SO | 0.87 | 3.74 | 5' 11'' | 190 |
| LT | Anthony Belton | RS JR/TR | 0.85 | 3.48 | 6' 6'' | 336 |
| LG | Lyndon Cooper | RS SO | 0.85 | 3.5 | 6' 2'' | 318 |
| OC | Dylan McMahon | RS JR | 0.87 | 3.69 | 6' 4'' | 305 |
| RG | Derrick Eason | GR | 0.85 | 3.46 | 6' 4'' | 315 |
| RT | Timothy McKay | RS JR | 0.87 | 3.74 | 6' 4'' | 312 |
| TE | Trent Pennix | GR | 0.85 | 3.53 | 6' 3'' | 235 |
| QB | MJ Morris | SO | 0.89 | 3.91 | 6' 2'' | 205 |
| Average | 0.86 | 3.63 | ||||
| Duke Defensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Name | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDE | R.J. Oben | RS SR | 0.86 | 3.63 | 6' 4'' | 260 |
| NT | DeWayne Carter | RS SR | 0.88 | 3.84 | 6' 3'' | 305 |
| DT | Ja'Mion Franklin | RS SR/TR | 0.87 | 3.74 | 6' 2'' | 309 |
| RDE | Anthony Nelson | GR/TR | 0.8 | 2.95 | 6' 2'' | 258 |
| WLB | Tre Freeman | RS SO | 0.86 | 3.56 | 6' 0'' | 231 |
| MLB | Dorian Mausi | SR | 0.85 | 3.54 | 6' 2'' | 233 |
| LCB | Al Blades Jr. | GR/TR | 0.96 | 4.71 | 6' 1'' | 195 |
| SS | Jaylen Stinson | SR | 0.85 | 3.52 | 5' 8'' | 177 |
| FS | Jeremiah Lewis | GR/TR | 0.86 | 3.56 | 5' 11'' | 197 |
| RCB | Chandler Rivers | SO | 0.87 | 3.7 | 5' 10'' | 178 |
| NB | Brandon Johnson | JR | 0.84 | 3.43 | 5' 10'' | 180 |
| Average | 0.86 | 3.65 | ||||
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide Receivers | 0.86 | 6' 0.2'' | 193.5 |
| Off. Linemen | 0.86 | 6' 4'' | 317.2 |
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Backs | 0.88 | 6' 1.6'' | 185.4 |
| Def. Linemen | 0.85 | 6' 2.8'' | 283 |
| Duke Offensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Starters | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR-X | Sahmir Hagans | RS SO | 0.85 | 3.47 | 5' 10'' | 185 |
| WR-Z | Jordan Moore | JR | 0.86 | 3.59 | 6' 0'' | 195 |
| WR-Y | Jalon Calhoun | RS SR | 0.85 | 3.51 | 5' 11'' | 191 |
| LT | Graham Barton | SR | 0.87 | 3.67 | 6' 5'' | 314 |
| LG | Maurice McIntyre | GR | 0.84 | 3.39 | 6' 2'' | 314 |
| OC | Scott Elliott | RS JR/TR | 0.85 | 3.5 | 6' 3'' | 297 |
| RG | Jacob Monk | GR | 0.89 | 3.86 | 6' 3'' | 320 |
| RT | Jake Hornibrook | GR/TR | 0.88 | 3.8 | 6' 5'' | 300 |
| TE | Nicky Dalmolin | SR | 0.85 | 3.53 | 6' 4'' | 241 |
| QB | Riley Leonard | JR | 0.87 | 3.7 | 6' 4'' | 212 |
| RB | Jaylen Coleman | GR | 0.83 | 3.33 | 6' 1'' | 204 |
| Average | 0.86 | 3.58 | ||||
| NC State Defensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Starters | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDE | Davin Vann | JR | 0.91 | 4.15 | 6' 2'' | 280 |
| NT | C.J. Clark | RS JR | 0.92 | 4.28 | 6' 3'' | 305 |
| RDE | Savion Jackson | SR | 0.93 | 4.4 | 6' 2'' | 290 |
| WLB | Payton Wilson | GR | 0.96 | 4.78 | 6' 4'' | 238 |
| MLB | Devon Betty | JR | 0.86 | 3.63 | 6' 1'' | 232 |
| SLB | Jaylon Scott | SR | 0.87 | 3.71 | 6' 1'' | 225 |
| LCB | Shyheim Battle | RS JR | 0.89 | 3.92 | 6' 2'' | 195 |
| SS | Devan Boykin | JR | 0.86 | 3.61 | 5' 10'' | 195 |
| FS | Sean Brown | RS SO | 0.83 | 3.28 | 6' 0'' | 207 |
| RCB | Aydan White | JR | 0.87 | 3.66 | 6' 0'' | 189 |
| NB | Robert Kennedy | GR/TR | 0.87 | 3.7 | 5' 10'' | 188 |
| Average | 0.89 | 3.92 | ||||
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide Receivers | 0.85 | 6' 1'' | 190.3 |
| Off. Lineman | 0.87 | 6' 3.6'' | 309 |
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Backs | 0.86 | 6' 0.4'' | 194.8 |
| Def. Linemen | 0.92 | 6' 2.3'' | 291.7 |
NC State Off. vs. Duke Def.
| Category | NC State Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Duke Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds/G | 194.4 | 99 | 233.7 | 14 | 177 | Opp. Pass Yds/G |
| Pass Yds/A | 6 | 115 | 7.5 | 3 | 5 | Opp. Pass Yds/A |
| Compl. % | 51.9% | 120 | 60.7% | 10 | 54.2% | Opp. Compl. % |
| Sack % Allowed | 4.7% | 35 | 6.7% | 90 | 5.3% | Sack % |
| Rush Yds/G | 131.4 | 82 | 148.1 | 65 | 141.3 | Opp. Rush Yds/G |
| Rush Yds/A | 3.7 | 92 | 4.1 | 66 | 4.1 | Opp. Rush Yds/A |
| Plays/G | 69.4 | 63 | 69.3 | 98 | 72.3 | Opp. Plays/G |
| Seconds/Play | 25 | 47 | 26.1 | 41 | 25.1 | Opp. Seconds/Play |
| Time of Poss % | 49% | 86 | 50.1% | 79 | 50.4% | Opp. Time of Poss % |
Duke Off. vs. NC State Def.
| Category | Duke Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | NC State Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds/G | 194 | 100 | 233.7 | 90 | 254.2 | Opp. Pass Yds/G |
| Pass Yds/A | 6.7 | 82 | 7.5 | 74 | 7.6 | Opp. Pass Yds/A |
| Compl. % | 58.3% | 88 | 60.7% | 33 | 57.7% | Opp. Compl. % |
| Sack % Allowed | 3.4% | 18 | 6.7% | 17 | 9.7% | Sack % |
| Rush Yds/G | 182.5 | 33 | 148.1 | 29 | 113.4 | Opp. Rush Yds/G |
| Rush Yds/A | 5.3 | 14 | 4.1 | 26 | 3.3 | Opp. Rush Yds/A |
| Plays/G | 64 | 111 | 69.3 | 90 | 71.4 | Opp. Plays/G |
| Seconds/Play | 27.9 | 99 | 26.1 | 49 | 25.3 | Opp. Seconds/Play |
| Time of Poss % | 49.6% | 79 | 50.1% | 86 | 51% | Opp. Time of Poss % |
Down Analysis: NC State Off. vs. Duke Def.
| Category | NC State Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Duke Def. | Category | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Down Pass % | 46.4% | 58 | 44.3% | 47 | 48.6% | Opp. 1st Down Pass % | |
| 1st Down Rush % | 53.6% | 76 | 55.7% | 87 | 51.4% | Opp. 1st Down Rush % | |
| 1st Down Pass Success % | 37.3% | 127 | 50% | 35 | 43.3% | Opp. 1st Down Pass Success % | |
| 1st Down Rush Success % | 58.3% | 15 | 50.7% | 123 | 57.7% | Opp. 1st Down Rush Success % | |
| 1st Down Explosiveness % | 10.1% | 110 | 13.2% | 27 | 9.4% | Opp. 1st Down Explosiveness % | |
| 1st Down Overall Success % | 48.6% | 84 | 50.6% | 89 | 50.7% | Opp. 1st Down Overall Success % | |
| 2nd Down Pass % | 48.2% | 74 | 48.8% | 101 | 45.7% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass % | |
| 2nd Down Rush % | 51.8% | 60 | 51.2% | 33 | 54.3% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush % | |
| 2nd Down Pass Success % | 47.8% | 58 | 45.2% | 6 | 31.3% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass Success % | |
| 2nd Down Rush Success % | 50% | 52 | 48.1% | 65 | 45.6% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush Success % | |
| 2nd Down Explosiveness % | 10.8% | 90 | 12.6% | 19 | 7.6% | Opp. 2nd Down Explosiveness % | |
| 2nd Down Overall Success % | 48.9% | 53 | 46.8% | 26 | 39% | Opp. 2nd Down Overall Success % | |
| 3rd Down Pass % | 53.4% | 112 | 62.1% | 61 | 65.3% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass % | |
| 3rd Down Rush % | 46.6% | 22 | 37.9% | 73 | 34.7% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush % | |
| 3rd Down Pass Success % | 36.2% | 57 | 34.9% | 33 | 27.7% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass Success % | |
| 3rd Down Rush Success % | 53.7% | 62 | 52.2% | 98 | 56% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush Success % | |
| 3rd Down Explosiveness % | 12.5% | 56 | 11.6% | 35 | 8.3% | Opp. 3rd Down Explosiveness % | |
| 3rd Down Conversion % | 37.3% | 74 | 39.2% | 66 | 38.7% | Opp. 3rd Down Conversion % |
Down Analysis: Duke Off. vs. NC State Def.
| Category | Duke Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | NC State Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Down Pass % | 42.3% | 81 | 44.3% | 24 | 51.2% | Opp. 1st Down Pass % |
| 1st Down Rush % | 57.7% | 53 | 55.7% | 110 | 48.8% | Opp. 1st Down Rush % |
| 1st Down Pass Success % | 52.4% | 48 | 50% | 22 | 41.2% | Opp. 1st Down Pass Success % |
| 1st Down Rush Success % | 59.3% | 12 | 50.7% | 55 | 46.9% | Opp. 1st Down Rush Success % |
| 1st Down Explosiveness % | 18.1% | 13 | 13.2% | 87 | 13.3% | Opp. 1st Down Explosiveness % |
| 1st Down Overall Success % | 56.4% | 21 | 50.6% | 34 | 44% | Opp. 1st Down Overall Success % |
| 2nd Down Pass % | 43.3% | 99 | 48.8% | 64 | 51.2% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass % |
| 2nd Down Rush % | 56.7% | 35 | 51.2% | 70 | 48.8% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush % |
| 2nd Down Pass Success % | 61.9% | 5 | 45.2% | 106 | 48.4% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass Success % |
| 2nd Down Rush Success % | 40% | 114 | 48.1% | 57 | 44.3% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush Success % |
| 2nd Down Explosiveness % | 8.2% | 118 | 12.6% | 29 | 8.8% | Opp. 2nd Down Explosiveness % |
| 2nd Down Overall Success % | 49.5% | 49 | 46.8% | 84 | 46.4% | Opp. 2nd Down Overall Success % |
| 3rd Down Pass % | 52.5% | 116 | 62.1% | 16 | 72% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass % |
| 3rd Down Rush % | 47.5% | 18 | 37.9% | 118 | 28% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush % |
| 3rd Down Pass Success % | 41.9% | 25 | 34.9% | 46 | 30.5% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass Success % |
| 3rd Down Rush Success % | 46.4% | 96 | 52.2% | 6 | 26.1% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush Success % |
| 3rd Down Explosiveness % | 15.3% | 26 | 11.6% | 9.5 | 6.1% | Opp. 3rd Down Explosiveness % |
| 3rd Down Conversion % | 40.4% | 53 | 39.2% | 19 | 31.9% | Opp. 3rd Down Conversion % |
Redzone and Goal to Go: NC State Off. vs. Duke Def.
| Category | NC State Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Duke Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redzone Pass % | 40% | 61 | 39.2% | 36 | 50% | Opp. Redzone Pass % |
| Redzone Rush % | 60% | 72 | 60.8% | 100 | 50% | Opp. Redzone Rush % |
| Redzone Pass Success % | 40.9% | 55 | 39.6% | 60 | 35.3% | Opp. Redzone Pass Success % |
| Redzone Rush Success % | 60.6% | 29 | 51.6% | 79 | 52.9% | Opp. Redzone Rush Success % |
| Redzone FG Atts (Season) | 4 | 65 | 4.6 | 103 | 3 | Opp. Redzone FG Atts (Season) |
| Redzone Plays/TD | 4.7 | 35 | 5.9 | 29 | 7.8 | Opp. Redzone Plays/TD |
| Goal to Go Pass % | 26.1% | 86 | 30.4% | 76 | 28.6% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass % |
| Goal to Go Rush % | 73.9% | 48 | 69.6% | 59 | 71.4% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush % |
| Goal to Go Pass Success % | 33.3% | 69 | 38.9% | 86 | 50% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass Success % |
| Goal to Go Rush Success % | 76.5% | 12 | 55.3% | 9 | 20% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush Success % |
| Goal to Go Plays/TD | 2.3 | 13.5 | 3.6 | 26 | 5.5 | Opp. Goal to Go Plays/TD |
Redzone and Goal to Go: Duke Off. vs. NC State Def.
| Category | Duke Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | NC State Def. | Category | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redzone Pass % | 21.2% | 128 | 39.2% | 36 | 50% | Opp. Redzone Pass % | ||
| Redzone Rush % | 78.8% | 6 | 60.8% | 100 | 50% | Opp. Redzone Rush % | ||
| Redzone Pass Success % | 36.4% | 76 | 39.6% | 27 | 26.3% | Opp. Redzone Pass Success % | ||
| Redzone Rush Success % | 61% | 25 | 51.6% | 58 | 47.4% | Opp. Redzone Rush Success % | ||
| Redzone FG Atts (Season) | 6 | 110 | 4.6 | 85 | 4 | Opp. Redzone FG Atts (Season) | ||
| Redzone Plays/TD | 4.5 | 27 | 5.9 | 84 | 5.3 | Opp. Redzone Plays/TD | ||
| Goal to Go Pass % | 20% | 103 | 30.4% | 49 | 37.5% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass % | ||
| Goal to Go Rush % | 80% | 28 | 69.6% | 84 | 62.5% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush % | ||
| Goal to Go Pass Success % | 40% | 57 | 38.9% | 55 | 33.3% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass Success % | ||
| Goal to Go Rush Success % | 75% | 13 | 55.3% | 22 | 30% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush Success % | ||
| Goal to Go Plays/TD | 2.2 | 10 | 3.6 | 31.5 | 5 | Opp. Goal to Go Plays/TD |
