NC State vs Louisville - Matchup Preview
Records
| Team | Overall W-L | Conf. W-L |
|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 4-0 | 2-0 |
| NC State | 3-1 | 1-0 |
Opening Odds and Betting Trends
| Team | Spread | O/U | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | -3.5 | 55.5 | -180 |
| NC State | +3.5 | 55.5 | +155 |
| Team | ATS Record | Cover % | ATS +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 2-2-0 | 50% | 5.4 |
| NC State | 0-4-0 | 0% | -7 |
| Team | O/U Record | PPG | O/U +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 2-1-1 | 38.7 | 9.8 |
| NC State | 1-3-0 | 24 | 1.8 |
| Louisville Offensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Name | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight | WR-X | Jamari Thrash | RS SR/TR | 0.91 | 4.14 | 6' 1'' | 185 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR-Z | Jimmy Calloway | RS JR/TR | 0.92 | 4.25 | 6' 0'' | 190 |
| WR-SL | Kevin Coleman | SO/TR | 0.98 | 4.98 | 5' 11'' | 180 |
| LT | Willie Tyler | RS SR/TR | 0.87 | 3.7 | 6' 6'' | 320 |
| LG | Michael Gonzalez | JR | 0.87 | 3.69 | 6' 4'' | 305 |
| OC | Bryan Hudson | RS SR/TR | 0.92 | 4.25 | 6' 5'' | 305 |
| RG | Renato Brown | RS JR | 0.86 | 3.6 | 6' 4'' | 315 |
| RT | Eric Miller | RS SR/TR | 0.86 | 3.6 | 6' 7'' | 305 |
| TE | Josh Lifson | GR | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 3'' | 235 |
| QB | Jack Plummer | RS SR/TR | 0.87 | 3.74 | 6' 5'' | 215 |
| RB | Jawhar Jordan | RS JR/TR | 0.87 | 3.66 | 5' 10'' | 185 |
| Average | 0.88 | 3.78 | ||||
| NC State Defensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Name | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDE | Davin Vann | JR | 0.91 | 4.15 | 6' 2'' | 280 |
| NT | C.J. Clark | RS JR | 0.92 | 4.28 | 6' 3'' | 305 |
| RDE | Savion Jackson | SR | 0.93 | 4.4 | 6' 2'' | 290 |
| WLB | Payton Wilson | GR | 0.96 | 4.78 | 6' 4'' | 238 |
| MLB | Devon Betty | JR | 0.86 | 3.63 | 6' 1'' | 232 |
| SLB | Jaylon Scott | SR | 0.87 | 3.71 | 6' 1'' | 225 |
| LCB | Shyheim Battle | RS JR | 0.89 | 3.92 | 6' 2'' | 195 |
| SS | Devan Boykin | JR | 0.86 | 3.61 | 5' 10'' | 195 |
| FS | Sean Brown | RS SO | 0.83 | 3.28 | 6' 0'' | 207 |
| RCB | Aydan White | JR | 0.87 | 3.66 | 6' 0'' | 189 |
| NB | Robert Kennedy | GR/TR | 0.87 | 3.7 | 5' 10'' | 188 |
| Average | 0.89 | 3.92 | ||||
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide Receivers | 0.94 | 6' 0'' | 185 |
| Off. Linemen | 0.88 | 6' 5.2'' | 310 |
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Backs | 0.86 | 6' 0.4'' | 194.8 |
| Def. Linemen | 0.92 | 6' 2.3'' | 291.7 |
| NC State Offensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Starters | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR-X | Julian Gray | RS SO | 0.87 | 3.74 | 5' 11'' | 190 |
| WR-Z | Keyon Lesane | SR | 0.85 | 3.51 | 5' 11'' | 202 |
| WR-SL | Kevin Concepcion | FR | 0.88 | 3.83 | 5' 11'' | 187 |
| LT | Anthony Belton | RS JR/TR | 0.85 | 3.48 | 6' 6'' | 336 |
| LG | Lyndon Cooper | RS SO | 0.85 | 3.5 | 6' 2'' | 318 |
| OC | Dylan McMahon | RS JR | 0.87 | 3.69 | 6' 4'' | 305 |
| RG | Derrick Eason | GR | 0.85 | 3.46 | 6' 4'' | 315 |
| RT | Timothy McKay | RS JR | 0.87 | 3.74 | 6' 4'' | 312 |
| TE | Christopher Toudle | RS JR | 0.86 | 3.56 | 6' 4'' | 250 |
| QB | Brennan Armstrong | GR/TR | 0.91 | 4.14 | 6' 2'' | 212 |
| RB | Jordan Houston | SR | 0.87 | 3.75 | 5' 10'' | 192 |
| Average | 0.87 | 3.67 | ||||
| Louisville Defensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Starters | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | Ashton Gillotte | JR | 0.85 | 3.47 | 6' 3'' | 270 |
| NT | Dezmond Tell | SR | 0.85 | 3.54 | 6' 1'' | 290 |
| DT | Ramon Puryear | RS JR | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 3'' | 270 |
| LEO | Stephen Herron | RS SR/TR | 0.94 | 4.5 | 6' 4'' | 240 |
| WLB | TJ Quinn | RS SO | 0.86 | 3.57 | 6' 1'' | 230 |
| MLB | Jaylin Alderman | RS SO | 0.85 | 3.47 | 6' 1'' | 230 |
| STAR | Benjamin Perry | RS SO | 0.89 | 3.95 | 6' 3'' | 205 |
| LCB | Jarvis Brownlee Jr. | RS JR/TR | 0.88 | 3.82 | 6' 0'' | 190 |
| RS | Devin Neal | SR/TR | 0.89 | 3.9 | 6' 0'' | 210 |
| RCB | Quincy Riley | RS SR/TR | 0.89 | 3.9 | 6' 0'' | 185 |
| Average | 0.85 | 3.47 | ||||
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide Receivers | 0.87 | 6' 1'' | 193 |
| Off. Lineman | 0.86 | 6' 4'' | 317.2 |
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Backs | 0.89 | 6' 0'' | 187.5 |
| Def. Linemen | 0.8 | 6' 2.3'' | 276.7 |
Louisville Off. vs. NC State Def.
| Category | Louisville Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | NC State Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds/G | 291 | 20 | 233.2 | 57 | 223.3 | Opp. Pass Yds/G |
| Pass Yds/A | 11.6 | 3 | 7.4 | 97 | 8.3 | Opp. Pass Yds/A |
| Compl. % | 65.3% | 38 | 60.4% | 41 | 58% | Opp. Compl. % |
| Sack % Allowed | 5.1% | 49 | 6.7% | 28 | 9% | Sack % |
| Rush Yds/G | 201.7 | 19 | 144.2 | 78 | 147.7 | Opp. Rush Yds/G |
| Rush Yds/A | 5.3 | 17 | 4 | 82 | 4.3 | Opp. Rush Yds/A |
| Plays/G | 64.3 | 108 | 69.2 | 25 | 64.3 | Opp. Plays/G |
| Seconds/Play | 29 | 113 | 26.1 | 91 | 27 | Opp. Seconds/Play |
| Time of Poss % | 51.8% | 44 | 50% | 60 | 49.5% | Opp. Time of Poss % |
NC State Off. vs. Louisville Def.
| Category | NC State Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Louisville Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds/G | 198.3 | 98 | 233.2 | 120 | 302.3 | Opp. Pass Yds/G |
| Pass Yds/A | 5.7 | 110 | 7.4 | 103 | 8.5 | Opp. Pass Yds/A |
| Compl. % | 51.4% | 118 | 60.4% | 61 | 59.8% | Opp. Compl. % |
| Sack % Allowed | 3.7% | 31 | 6.7% | 111 | 3.6% | Sack % |
| Rush Yds/G | 144 | 63 | 144.2 | 50 | 121.7 | Opp. Rush Yds/G |
| Rush Yds/A | 3.9 | 77 | 4 | 62 | 3.8 | Opp. Rush Yds/A |
| Plays/G | 73.7 | 26 | 69.2 | 60 | 69 | Opp. Plays/G |
| Seconds/Play | 24 | 33 | 26.1 | 49 | 25.1 | Opp. Seconds/Play |
| Time of Poss % | 50.5% | 60 | 50% | 44 | 48.2% | Opp. Time of Poss % |
Down Analysis: Louisville Off. vs. NC State Def.
| Category | Louisville Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | NC State Def. | Category | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Down Pass % | 27.7% | 126 | 44.3% | 79 | 43.4% | Opp. 1st Down Pass % | |
| 1st Down Rush % | 72.3% | 8 | 55.7% | 55 | 56.6% | Opp. 1st Down Rush % | |
| 1st Down Pass Success % | 50% | 62 | 49.7% | 16 | 37.2% | Opp. 1st Down Pass Success % | |
| 1st Down Rush Success % | 73.5% | 1 | 51% | 50 | 44.6% | Opp. 1st Down Rush Success % | |
| 1st Down Explosiveness % | 19.1% | 9 | 13% | 109 | 15.2% | Opp. 1st Down Explosiveness % | |
| 1st Down Overall Success % | 67% | 1 | 50.7% | 26.5 | 41.4% | Opp. 1st Down Overall Success % | |
| 2nd Down Pass % | 46.9% | 76 | 48.8% | 85 | 48.7% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass % | |
| 2nd Down Rush % | 53.1% | 58 | 51.2% | 50 | 51.3% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush % | |
| 2nd Down Pass Success % | 50% | 39 | 45.1% | 110 | 51.4% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass Success % | |
| 2nd Down Rush Success % | 50% | 58 | 48.5% | 93 | 48.7% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush Success % | |
| 2nd Down Explosiveness % | 14.1% | 49 | 12.7% | 40 | 9.2% | Opp. 2nd Down Explosiveness % | |
| 2nd Down Overall Success % | 50% | 42 | 46.9% | 107 | 50% | Opp. 2nd Down Overall Success % | |
| 3rd Down Pass % | 61.8% | 76 | 61.8% | 33 | 70% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass % | |
| 3rd Down Rush % | 38.2% | 58 | 38.2% | 104 | 30% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush % | |
| 3rd Down Pass Success % | 47.6% | 14 | 35.6% | 59 | 31.4% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass Success % | |
| 3rd Down Rush Success % | 61.5% | 40 | 53.4% | 7 | 26.7% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush Success % | |
| 3rd Down Explosiveness % | 14.7% | 38 | 12% | 15.5 | 6% | Opp. 3rd Down Explosiveness % | |
| 3rd Down Conversion % | 44.4% | 41 | 40.1% | 34 | 35% | Opp. 3rd Down Conversion % |
Down Analysis: NC State Off. vs. Louisville Def.
| Category | NC State Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Louisville Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Down Pass % | 44.5% | 71 | 44.3% | 64 | 45.5% | Opp. 1st Down Pass % |
| 1st Down Rush % | 55.5% | 63 | 55.7% | 72 | 54.5% | Opp. 1st Down Rush % |
| 1st Down Pass Success % | 42.1% | 110 | 49.7% | 75 | 48.6% | Opp. 1st Down Pass Success % |
| 1st Down Rush Success % | 66.2% | 4 | 51% | 38 | 42.9% | Opp. 1st Down Rush Success % |
| 1st Down Explosiveness % | 10.2% | 99 | 13% | 54 | 10.4% | Opp. 1st Down Explosiveness % |
| 1st Down Overall Success % | 55.5% | 33 | 50.7% | 51 | 45.5% | Opp. 1st Down Overall Success % |
| 2nd Down Pass % | 47% | 75 | 48.8% | 17 | 58.3% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass % |
| 2nd Down Rush % | 53% | 59 | 51.2% | 117 | 41.7% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush % |
| 2nd Down Pass Success % | 53.2% | 27 | 45.1% | 6 | 28.6% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass Success % |
| 2nd Down Rush Success % | 52.8% | 48 | 48.5% | 122 | 56% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush Success % |
| 2nd Down Explosiveness % | 10% | 98 | 12.7% | 123 | 16.7% | Opp. 2nd Down Explosiveness % |
| 2nd Down Overall Success % | 53% | 26 | 46.9% | 46 | 40% | Opp. 2nd Down Overall Success % |
| 3rd Down Pass % | 56.5% | 98 | 61.8% | 43 | 68.3% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass % |
| 3rd Down Rush % | 43.5% | 36 | 38.2% | 91 | 31.7% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush % |
| 3rd Down Pass Success % | 40% | 42 | 35.6% | 83 | 35.7% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass Success % |
| 3rd Down Rush Success % | 66.7% | 15 | 53.4% | 14 | 30.8% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush Success % |
| 3rd Down Explosiveness % | 11.3% | 66 | 12% | 110 | 14.6% | Opp. 3rd Down Explosiveness % |
| 3rd Down Conversion % | 45.8% | 35 | 40.1% | 84 | 42.5% | Opp. 3rd Down Conversion % |
Redzone and Goal to Go: Louisville Off. vs. NC State Def.
| Category | Louisville Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | NC State Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redzone Pass % | 14.8% | 130 | 38.7% | 40 | 50% | Opp. Redzone Pass % |
| Redzone Rush % | 85.2% | 4 | 61.3% | 100 | 50% | Opp. Redzone Rush % |
| Redzone Pass Success % | 50% | 28 | 40% | 66 | 36.4% | Opp. Redzone Pass Success % |
| Redzone Rush Success % | 82.6% | 2 | 52.1% | 89 | 54.5% | Opp. Redzone Rush Success % |
| Redzone FG Atts (Season) | 0 | 6 | 3.3 | 104 | 2 | Opp. Redzone FG Atts (Season) |
| Redzone Plays/TD | 3.6 | 9 | 5.9 | 102.5 | 4.7 | Opp. Redzone Plays/TD |
| Goal to Go Pass % | 7.7% | 122 | 29.7% | 14 | 55.6% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass % |
| Goal to Go Rush % | 92.3% | 12 | 70.2% | 122 | 44.4% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush % |
| Goal to Go Pass Success % | 100% | 1 | 37.8% | 75 | 40% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass Success % |
| Goal to Go Rush Success % | 83.3% | 7 | 55.8% | 21 | 25% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush Success % |
| Goal to Go Plays/TD | 1.9 | 9 | 3.8 | 33.5 | 5.5 | Opp. Goal to Go Plays/TD |
Redzone and Goal to Go: NC State Off. vs. Louisville Def.
| Category | NC State Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Louisville Def. | Category | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redzone Pass % | 40.5% | 59 | 38.7% | 62 | 42.9% | Opp. Redzone Pass % | ||
| Redzone Rush % | 59.5% | 75 | 61.3% | 72 | 57.1% | Opp. Redzone Rush % | ||
| Redzone Pass Success % | 46.7% | 40 | 40% | 53 | 33.3% | Opp. Redzone Pass Success % | ||
| Redzone Rush Success % | 72.7% | 7 | 52.1% | 4 | 12.5% | Opp. Redzone Rush Success % | ||
| Redzone FG Atts (Season) | 3 | 79 | 3.3 | 133 | 0 | Opp. Redzone FG Atts (Season) | ||
| Redzone Plays/TD | 4.6 | 39 | 5.9 | 20.5 | 9.5 | Opp. Redzone Plays/TD | ||
| Goal to Go Pass % | 17.6% | 101 | 29.7% | 100 | 22.2% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass % | ||
| Goal to Go Rush % | 82.4% | 29 | 70.2% | 34 | 77.8% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush % | ||
| Goal to Go Pass Success % | 33.3% | 62 | 37.8% | 1 | 0% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass Success % | ||
| Goal to Go Rush Success % | 85.7% | 6 | 55.8% | 11 | 14.3% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush Success % | ||
| Goal to Go Plays/TD | 2 | 14.5 | 3.8 | 5 | 12 | Opp. Goal to Go Plays/TD |
