Texas State @ Baylor - 7:00pm ET, September 2nd
Records
| Team | Overall W-L | Conf. W-L |
|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 6-6 | 4-5 |
| Texas State | 4-8 | 2-6 |
Opening Odds and Betting Trends
| Team | Spread | O/U | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | -26 | 57 | -3551 |
| Texas State | +26 | 57 | +1362 |
| Team | ATS Record | Cover % | ATS +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 7-6-0 | 53.9% | -0.3 |
| Texas State | 5-7-0 | 41.7% | 0.1 |
| Team | O/U Record | PPG | O/U +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 9-4-0 | 29.1 | 5.3 |
| Texas State | 6-6-0 | 19.9 | -4.3 |
| Baylor Offensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Name | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight | WR-X | Ketron Jackson Jr. | JR | 0.93 | 4.37 | 6' 2'' | 208 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR-Z | Hal Presley | JR | 0.89 | 3.93 | 6' 3'' | 206 |
| WR-SL | Monaray Baldwin | JR | 0.84 | 3.36 | 5' 9'' | 170 |
| LT | Campbell Barrington | JR | 0.89 | 3.9 | 6' 6'' | 297 |
| LG | Gavin Byers | SR | 0.84 | 3.43 | 6' 5'' | 312 |
| OC | Clark Barrington | RS SR/TR | 0.91 | 4.14 | 6' 6'' | 308 |
| RG | Tate Williams | RS SO | 0.9 | 3.97 | 6' 4'' | 305 |
| RT | Elijah Ellis | RS SR | 0.84 | 3.4 | 6' 6'' | 311 |
| TE | Jake Roberts | JR | 0.88 | 3.8 | 6' 4'' | 250 |
| QB | Blake Shapen | RS JR | 0.86 | 3.64 | 6' 0'' | 205 |
| RB | Richard Reese | SO | 0.87 | 3.73 | 5' 9'' | 182 |
| Average | 0.88 | 3.79 | ||||
| Texas State Defensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Name | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDE | Ben Bell | RS JR | 0.83 | 3.3 | 6' 2'' | 225 |
| LDT | Dominique Ratcliff | RS SO | 0.81 | 3.14 | 6' 3'' | 280 |
| RDT | Tavian Coleman | SR/TR | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 1'' | 280 |
| RDE | Jordan Revels | SR | 0.8 | 2.96 | 5' 11'' | 235 |
| WLB | Brian Holloway | RS SR/TR | 0.78 | 2.8 | 6' 0'' | 225 |
| MLB | Dan Foster Jr. | RS SR/TR | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 3'' | 230 |
| LCB | Alonzo Edwards Jr. | JR | 0.83 | 3.32 | 5' 11'' | 190 |
| SS | Tory Spears | RS SR/TR | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 3'' | 200 |
| FS | Kaleb Culp | RS JR | 0.7 | 2 | 5' 10'' | 185 |
| RCB | Kaleb Ford-Dement | RS SR/TR | 0.8 | 2.96 | 5' 11'' | 190 |
| NB | Michael Boudoin III | SO | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 4'' | 195 |
| Average | 0.76 | 2.59 | ||||
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide Receivers | 0.89 | 6' 0.7'' | 194.7 |
| Off. Linemen | 0.88 | 6' 5.4'' | 306.6 |
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Backs | 0.75 | 6' 0.6'' | 192 |
| Def. Linemen | 0.79 | 6' 1.3'' | 255 |
| Texas State Offensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Starters | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR-X | Beau Corrales | RS SR/TR | 0.84 | 3.39 | 6' 4'' | 210 |
| WR-Z | Charles Brown | RS SO | 0.7 | 2 | 5' 11'' | 170 |
| WR-SL | Ashtyn Hawkins | JR | 0.7 | 2 | 5' 10'' | 170 |
| LT | Nash Jones | SR/TR | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 5'' | 310 |
| LG | Caleb Johnson | RS SR/TR | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 6'' | 330 |
| OC | Jaydan Smith | RS SR | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 4'' | 300 |
| RG | Jimeto Obigbo | JR | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 4'' | 320 |
| RT | Trenton Scott | RS SO | 0.8 | 3.02 | 6' 6'' | 305 |
| TE | Konner Fox | RS JR | 0.86 | 3.59 | 6' 4'' | 245 |
| QB | Malik Hornsby | RS JR | 0.92 | 4.27 | 6' 2'' | 185 |
| RB | Calvin Hill | RS JR | 0.81 | 3.06 | 5' 8'' | 185 |
| Average | 0.77 | 2.67 | ||||
| Baylor Defensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Starters | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | TJ Franklin | RS SR | 0.85 | 3.51 | 6' 5'' | 268 |
| NT | Jerrell Boykins Jr. | RS SO | 0.86 | 3.61 | 6' 3'' | 317 |
| DT | Gabe Hall | RS SR | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 6'' | 287 |
| JACK | Byron Vaughns | RS SR/TR | 0.88 | 3.83 | 6' 4'' | 238 |
| MLB | Mike Smith Jr. | RS SR/TR | 0.88 | 3.8 | 6' 1'' | 240 |
| WLB | Matt Jones | RS SR | 0.88 | 3.76 | 6' 3'' | 246 |
| STAR | Bryson Jackson | RS SR | 0.85 | 3.49 | 6' 2'' | 209 |
| LCB | Isaiah Dunson | SO | 0.9 | 3.96 | 6' 1'' | 184 |
| SS | Devyn Bobby | SO | 0.86 | 3.61 | 5' 10'' | 187 |
| FS | Devin Lemear | RS SO | 0.86 | 3.57 | 5' 11'' | 186 |
| RCB | Tevin Williams III | RS SO | 0.89 | 3.88 | 6' 2'' | 193 |
| Average | 0.86 | 3.55 | ||||
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide Receivers | 0.75 | 6' 0.3'' | 183.3 |
| Off. Lineman | 0.72 | 6' 5'' | 313 |
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Backs | 0.88 | 6' 0'' | 187.5 |
| Def. Linemen | 0.8 | 6' 4.7'' | 290.7 |
Baylor Off. vs. Texas State Def.
| Category | Baylor Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Texas State Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds/G | 224.6 | 71 | 229.9 | 99 | 257.8 | Opp. Pass Yds/G |
| Pass Yds/A | 7.4 | 59 | 7.2 | 78 | 7.4 | Opp. Pass Yds/A |
| Compl. % | 61.6% | 55 | 60% | 116 | 65% | Opp. Compl. % |
| Sack % Allowed | 5.2% | 45 | 6.6% | 88 | 5.4% | Sack % |
| Rush Yds/G | 176.2 | 46 | 155 | 29 | 124.5 | Opp. Rush Yds/G |
| Rush Yds/A | 4.3 | 59 | 4.2 | 27 | 3.6 | Opp. Rush Yds/A |
| Plays/G | 73.1 | 40 | 70.7 | 68 | 71.3 | Opp. Plays/G |
| Seconds/Play | 26 | 77 | 25.5 | 56 | 25.2 | Opp. Seconds/Play |
| Time of Poss % | 52.8% | 28 | 50% | 62 | 49.9% | Opp. Time of Poss % |
Texas State Off. vs. Baylor Def.
| Category | Texas State Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Baylor Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds/G | 208.3 | 91 | 229.9 | 63 | 228.8 | Opp. Pass Yds/G |
| Pass Yds/A | 5.7 | 122 | 7.2 | 75 | 7.4 | Opp. Pass Yds/A |
| Compl. % | 61.5% | 57 | 60% | 91 | 62.4% | Opp. Compl. % |
| Sack % Allowed | 5.6% | 52 | 6.6% | 84 | 5.6% | Sack % |
| Rush Yds/G | 102.9 | 116 | 155 | 65 | 153.3 | Opp. Rush Yds/G |
| Rush Yds/A | 3.3 | 114 | 4.2 | 45 | 3.9 | Opp. Rush Yds/A |
| Plays/G | 70.1 | 66 | 70.7 | 74 | 71.7 | Opp. Plays/G |
| Seconds/Play | 25.7 | 69 | 25.5 | 9 | 23.7 | Opp. Seconds/Play |
| Time of Poss % | 50.1% | 62 | 50% | 28 | 47.2% | Opp. Time of Poss % |
Down Analysis: Baylor Off. vs. Texas State Def.
| Category | Baylor Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Texas State Def. | Category | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Down Pass % | 42.3% | 75 | 43.2% | 32 | 47.7% | Opp. 1st Down Pass % | |
| 1st Down Rush % | 57.7% | 57 | 56.8% | 100 | 52.3% | Opp. 1st Down Rush % | |
| 1st Down Pass Success % | 52.1% | 38 | 49.1% | 49 | 46.5% | Opp. 1st Down Pass Success % | |
| 1st Down Rush Success % | 53.3% | 52 | 51.1% | 62 | 49.4% | Opp. 1st Down Rush Success % | |
| 1st Down Explosiveness % | 11.3% | 90 | 12.9% | 13 | 8.6% | Opp. 1st Down Explosiveness % | |
| 1st Down Overall Success % | 52.8% | 37 | 50.4% | 50 | 48% | Opp. 1st Down Overall Success % | |
| 2nd Down Pass % | 48.1% | 68 | 48.8% | 77 | 48.2% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass % | |
| 2nd Down Rush % | 51.9% | 64 | 51.2% | 55 | 51.8% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush % | |
| 2nd Down Pass Success % | 44% | 66 | 44% | 99 | 47.5% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass Success % | |
| 2nd Down Rush Success % | 55.3% | 26 | 49.2% | 71 | 48.1% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush Success % | |
| 2nd Down Explosiveness % | 12.6% | 61 | 12.3% | 57 | 11.2% | Opp. 2nd Down Explosiveness % | |
| 2nd Down Overall Success % | 49.8% | 39 | 46.7% | 86 | 47.8% | Opp. 2nd Down Overall Success % | |
| 3rd Down Pass % | 50.6% | 122 | 62.6% | 44 | 65.8% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass % | |
| 3rd Down Rush % | 49.4% | 10 | 37.4% | 88 | 34.2% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush % | |
| 3rd Down Pass Success % | 38.4% | 35 | 33.9% | 77 | 34.3% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass Success % | |
| 3rd Down Rush Success % | 48.8% | 73 | 51% | 46 | 45.3% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush Success % | |
| 3rd Down Explosiveness % | 12.9% | 41 | 11.3% | 21 | 7.7% | Opp. 3rd Down Explosiveness % | |
| 3rd Down Conversion % | 38.7% | 64 | 38.7% | 41 | 36.3% | Opp. 3rd Down Conversion % |
Down Analysis: Texas State Off. vs. Baylor Def.
| Category | Texas State Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Baylor Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Down Pass % | 47.4% | 40 | 43.2% | 26 | 48.6% | Opp. 1st Down Pass % |
| 1st Down Rush % | 52.6% | 92 | 56.8% | 106 | 51.4% | Opp. 1st Down Rush % |
| 1st Down Pass Success % | 38.4% | 126 | 49.1% | 29 | 44.4% | Opp. 1st Down Pass Success % |
| 1st Down Rush Success % | 49.4% | 81 | 51.1% | 71 | 50.5% | Opp. 1st Down Rush Success % |
| 1st Down Explosiveness % | 7.5% | 128 | 12.9% | 34 | 10.3% | Opp. 1st Down Explosiveness % |
| 1st Down Overall Success % | 44.2% | 116 | 50.4% | 45 | 47.6% | Opp. 1st Down Overall Success % |
| 2nd Down Pass % | 56.4% | 33 | 48.8% | 102 | 45.1% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass % |
| 2nd Down Rush % | 43.6% | 99 | 51.2% | 30 | 54.9% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush % |
| 2nd Down Pass Success % | 39.8% | 95 | 44% | 127 | 55% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass Success % |
| 2nd Down Rush Success % | 52.4% | 44 | 49.2% | 61 | 46.5% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush Success % |
| 2nd Down Explosiveness % | 9.7% | 103 | 12.3% | 70 | 11.9% | Opp. 2nd Down Explosiveness % |
| 2nd Down Overall Success % | 45.3% | 74 | 46.7% | 110 | 50.3% | Opp. 2nd Down Overall Success % |
| 3rd Down Pass % | 69.2% | 32 | 62.6% | 74 | 62% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass % |
| 3rd Down Rush % | 30.8% | 100 | 37.4% | 58 | 38% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush % |
| 3rd Down Pass Success % | 27.3% | 109 | 33.9% | 117 | 39.8% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass Success % |
| 3rd Down Rush Success % | 46.9% | 85 | 51% | 67 | 49.2% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush Success % |
| 3rd Down Explosiveness % | 6.3% | 126 | 11.3% | 17 | 7.2% | Opp. 3rd Down Explosiveness % |
| 3rd Down Conversion % | 36.8% | 86 | 38.7% | 122 | 47.5% | Opp. 3rd Down Conversion % |
Redzone and Goal to Go: Baylor Off. vs. Texas State Def.
| Category | Baylor Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Texas State Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redzone Pass % | 33.1% | 99 | 39.6% | 103 | 35% | Opp. Redzone Pass % |
| Redzone Rush % | 66.9% | 33 | 60.4% | 29 | 65% | Opp. Redzone Rush % |
| Redzone Pass Success % | 30% | 102 | 37.9% | 10 | 25% | Opp. Redzone Pass Success % |
| Redzone Rush Success % | 58.4% | 18 | 51% | 104 | 56.7% | Opp. Redzone Rush Success % |
| Redzone FG Atts (Season) | 5 | 15 | 10 | 66 | 10 | Opp. Redzone FG Atts (Season) |
| Redzone Plays/TD | 4.6 | 20 | 6.1 | 51 | 6.5 | Opp. Redzone Plays/TD |
| Goal to Go Pass % | 23.3% | 102 | 32.8% | 126 | 20.8% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass % |
| Goal to Go Rush % | 76.7% | 30 | 67.2% | 6 | 79.2% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush % |
| Goal to Go Pass Success % | 20% | 102 | 36.3% | 22 | 18.2% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass Success % |
| Goal to Go Rush Success % | 69.7% | 10 | 52.7% | 106 | 61.9% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush Success % |
| Goal to Go Plays/TD | 2.1 | 4 | 3.7 | 57 | 3.8 | Opp. Goal to Go Plays/TD |
Redzone and Goal to Go: Texas State Off. vs. Baylor Def.
| Category | Texas State Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Baylor Def. | Category | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redzone Pass % | 52.1% | 14 | 39.6% | 113 | 32.6% | Opp. Redzone Pass % | ||
| Redzone Rush % | 47.9% | 118 | 60.4% | 20 | 67.4% | Opp. Redzone Rush % | ||
| Redzone Pass Success % | 36.8% | 73 | 37.9% | 35 | 30.4% | Opp. Redzone Pass Success % | ||
| Redzone Rush Success % | 57.1% | 24 | 51% | 62 | 49.5% | Opp. Redzone Rush Success % | ||
| Redzone FG Atts (Season) | 7 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 15 | Opp. Redzone FG Atts (Season) | ||
| Redzone Plays/TD | 5.1 | 38 | 6.1 | 80 | 5.8 | Opp. Redzone Plays/TD | ||
| Goal to Go Pass % | 45.5% | 18 | 32.8% | 96 | 28.4% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass % | ||
| Goal to Go Rush % | 54.5% | 113 | 67.2% | 36 | 71.6% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush % | ||
| Goal to Go Pass Success % | 33.3% | 68 | 36.3% | 8 | 10.5% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass Success % | ||
| Goal to Go Rush Success % | 50% | 77 | 52.7% | 85 | 56.3% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush Success % | ||
| Goal to Go Plays/TD | 2.8 | 30 | 3.7 | 32 | 4.3 | Opp. Goal to Go Plays/TD |
