Arkansas vs Mississippi State - Matchup Preview
Records
| Team | Overall W-L | Conf. W-L |
|---|---|---|
| Arkansas | 2-5 | 0-4 |
| Mississippi State | 3-3 | 0-3 |
Opening Odds and Betting Trends
| Team | Spread | O/U | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas | -6.5 | 50.5 | -250 |
| Mississippi State | +6.5 | 50.5 | +210 |
| Team | ATS Record | Cover % | ATS +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 0.7 |
| Mississippi State | 1-5-0 | 16.7% | -4.3 |
| Team | O/U Record | PPG | O/U +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas | 4-2-1 | 25.5 | 0.6 |
| Mississippi State | 4-2-0 | 26.6 | 6.2 |
| Arkansas Offensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Name | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight | WR-X | Andrew Armstrong | RS SR/TR | 0.89 | 3.9 | 6' 4'' | 201 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR-Z | Isaac TeSlaa | SR/TR | 0.88 | 3.8 | 6' 4'' | 216 |
| WR-SL | Jaedon Wilson | RS SO | 0.87 | 3.69 | 6' 3'' | 179 |
| LT | Andrew Chamblee | RS FR | 0.9 | 3.98 | 6' 6'' | 304 |
| LG | Brady Latham | RS SR | 0.86 | 3.56 | 6' 5'' | 312 |
| OC | Beaux Limmer | RS SR | 0.87 | 3.74 | 6' 5'' | 307 |
| RG | Joshua Braun | RS JR/TR | 0.9 | 4.07 | 6' 6'' | 348 |
| RT | Patrick Kutas | SO | 0.89 | 3.95 | 6' 5'' | 313 |
| TE | Ty Washington | RS FR | 0.88 | 3.76 | 6' 4'' | 247 |
| QB | KJ Jefferson | RS SR | 0.9 | 4.01 | 6' 3'' | 247 |
| RB | Raheim Sanders | JR | 0.91 | 4.1 | 6' 2'' | 242 |
| Average | 0.89 | 3.87 | ||||
| Mississippi State Defensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Name | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | Deonte Anderson | RS SO | 0.89 | 3.87 | 6' 3'' | 260 |
| NT | Nathan Pickering | SR | 0.97 | 4.85 | 6' 4'' | 305 |
| DT | Jaden Crumedy | GR | 0.89 | 3.94 | 6' 5'' | 305 |
| WLB | Jett Johnson | GR | 0.85 | 3.52 | 6' 2'' | 230 |
| MLB | Nathaniel Watson | GR | 0.87 | 3.68 | 6' 2'' | 245 |
| SLB | Donterry Russell | RS FR | 0.88 | 3.8 | 6' 4'' | 220 |
| FCB | Decamerion Richardson | SR | 0.87 | 3.67 | 6' 2'' | 195 |
| FS | Corey Ellington | JR | 0.85 | 3.52 | 6' 3'' | 200 |
| DOG | Shawn Preston Jr. | GR | 0.85 | 3.54 | 6' 0'' | 205 |
| BS | Marcus Banks | SR/TR | 0.94 | 4.56 | 6' 0'' | 190 |
| BCB | DeCarlos Nicholson | SR/TR | 0.88 | 3.75 | 6' 3'' | 195 |
| Average | 0.89 | 3.88 | ||||
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide Receivers | 0.88 | 6' 3.7'' | 198.7 |
| Off. Linemen | 0.88 | 6' 5.4'' | 316.8 |
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Backs | 0.89 | 6' 1.7'' | 195 |
| Def. Linemen | 0.92 | 6' 4'' | 290 |
| Mississippi State Offensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Starters | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR-X | Justin Robinson | RS JR/TR | 0.9 | 4 | 6' 4'' | 220 |
| WR-Z | Zavion Thomas | SO | 0.89 | 3.93 | 5' 11'' | 190 |
| WR-H | Lideatrick Griffin | SR | 0.91 | 4.09 | 5' 10'' | 180 |
| LT | Kwatrivous Johnson | GR | 0.9 | 4.02 | 6' 7'' | 330 |
| LG | Nick Jones | SR/TR | 0.84 | 3.36 | 6' 3'' | 300 |
| OC | Cole Smith | GR/TR | 0.88 | 3.84 | 6' 3'' | 305 |
| RG | Steven Losoya III | RS SR/TR | 0.7 | 2 | 6' 4'' | 320 |
| RT | Kameron Jones | GR | 0.84 | 3.42 | 6' 5'' | 315 |
| TE | Ryland Goede | GR/TR | 0.91 | 4.15 | 6' 6'' | 260 |
| QB | Will Rogers | SR | 0.87 | 3.69 | 6' 2'' | 215 |
| RB | Jo'Quavious Marks | SR | 0.94 | 4.47 | 5' 10'' | 210 |
| Average | 0.87 | 3.72 | ||||
| Arkansas Defensive Starters | ||||||
| Pos | Starters | Class | Rating | Stars | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | Trajan Jeffcoat | RS SR/TR | 0.88 | 3.8 | 6' 4'' | 281 |
| NT | Eric Gregory | RS SR | 0.89 | 3.87 | 6' 4'' | 318 |
| DT | Cameron Ball | RS SO | 0.88 | 3.82 | 6' 5'' | 319 |
| BUCK | Landon Jackson | JR/TR | 0.94 | 4.55 | 6' 7'' | 281 |
| MLB | Chris Paul Jr. | RS SO | 0.87 | 3.65 | 6' 1'' | 233 |
| WLB | Jaheim Thomas | RS JR/TR | 0.89 | 3.94 | 6' 4'' | 240 |
| LCB | Dwight McGlothern | SR/TR | 0.91 | 4.14 | 6' 2'' | 188 |
| SS | Alfahiym Walcott | RS SR/TR | 0.9 | 4.01 | 6' 2'' | 210 |
| FS | Jayden Johnson | JR | 0.88 | 3.75 | 6' 2'' | 206 |
| RCB | Jaylon Braxton | FR | 0.94 | 4.52 | 6' 0'' | 185 |
| NB | Lorando Johnson | RS JR/TR | 0.89 | 3.91 | 6' 0'' | 193 |
| Average | 0.9 | 4 | ||||
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide Receivers | 0.9 | 6' 0.3'' | 196.7 |
| Off. Lineman | 0.83 | 6' 4.4'' | 314 |
| Position Group | Avg. Rating | Avg. Height | Avg. Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Backs | 0.9 | 6' 1.2'' | 196.4 |
| Def. Linemen | 0.88 | 6' 4.3'' | 306 |
Arkansas Off. vs. Mississippi State Def.
| Category | Arkansas Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Mississippi State Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds/G | 200.7 | 99 | 233.6 | 122 | 291.2 | Opp. Pass Yds/G |
| Pass Yds/A | 7.3 | 66 | 7.4 | 124 | 9 | Opp. Pass Yds/A |
| Compl. % | 64.2% | 33 | 60.3% | 132 | 77.2% | Opp. Compl. % |
| Sack % Allowed | 13.6% | 130 | 6.6% | 44 | 7.4% | Sack % |
| Rush Yds/G | 110.7 | 108 | 148.3 | 63 | 141.4 | Opp. Rush Yds/G |
| Rush Yds/A | 3 | 119 | 4.1 | 45 | 3.8 | Opp. Rush Yds/A |
| Plays/G | 69.3 | 64 | 69.4 | 97 | 72.2 | Opp. Plays/G |
| Seconds/Play | 28 | 103 | 26 | 102 | 26.8 | Opp. Seconds/Play |
| Time of Poss % | 53.9% | 17 | 50% | 116 | 53.8% | Opp. Time of Poss % |
Mississippi State Off. vs. Arkansas Def.
| Category | Mississippi State Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Arkansas Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds/G | 221.8 | 76 | 233.6 | 43 | 216.5 | Opp. Pass Yds/G |
| Pass Yds/A | 7.2 | 69 | 7.4 | 122 | 8.9 | Opp. Pass Yds/A |
| Compl. % | 60.8% | 61 | 60.3% | 64 | 60.3% | Opp. Compl. % |
| Sack % Allowed | 7.8% | 94 | 6.6% | 4 | 11.5% | Sack % |
| Rush Yds/G | 123.8 | 96 | 148.3 | 68 | 144.8 | Opp. Rush Yds/G |
| Rush Yds/A | 4.1 | 63 | 4.1 | 52 | 3.9 | Opp. Rush Yds/A |
| Plays/G | 63.4 | 115 | 69.4 | 20 | 64.5 | Opp. Plays/G |
| Seconds/Play | 26.2 | 71 | 26 | 61 | 25.7 | Opp. Seconds/Play |
| Time of Poss % | 46.2% | 116 | 50% | 17 | 46.1% | Opp. Time of Poss % |
Down Analysis: Arkansas Off. vs. Mississippi State Def.
| Category | Arkansas Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Mississippi State Def. | Category | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Down Pass % | 39.3% | 103 | 44.1% | 84 | 43.7% | Opp. 1st Down Pass % | |
| 1st Down Rush % | 60.7% | 31 | 55.9% | 50 | 56.3% | Opp. 1st Down Rush % | |
| 1st Down Pass Success % | 53.3% | 37 | 49.7% | 133 | 68.5% | Opp. 1st Down Pass Success % | |
| 1st Down Rush Success % | 43.1% | 115 | 50.7% | 51 | 46.8% | Opp. 1st Down Rush Success % | |
| 1st Down Explosiveness % | 8.9% | 123 | 13.2% | 93 | 13.8% | Opp. 1st Down Explosiveness % | |
| 1st Down Overall Success % | 47.1% | 99 | 50.4% | 124 | 56.3% | Opp. 1st Down Overall Success % | |
| 2nd Down Pass % | 50.3% | 64 | 49.1% | 66 | 50.8% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass % | |
| 2nd Down Rush % | 49.7% | 70 | 50.9% | 68 | 49.2% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush % | |
| 2nd Down Pass Success % | 35.9% | 114 | 44.7% | 114 | 49.3% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass Success % | |
| 2nd Down Rush Success % | 49.4% | 60 | 48.2% | 79 | 47.7% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush Success % | |
| 2nd Down Explosiveness % | 11.6% | 81 | 12.5% | 43 | 9.8% | Opp. 2nd Down Explosiveness % | |
| 2nd Down Overall Success % | 42.6% | 100 | 46.7% | 100 | 48.5% | Opp. 2nd Down Overall Success % | |
| 3rd Down Pass % | 63.6% | 63 | 62.4% | 64 | 64.7% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass % | |
| 3rd Down Rush % | 36.4% | 71 | 37.6% | 70 | 35.3% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush % | |
| 3rd Down Pass Success % | 36.5% | 52 | 34.8% | 77 | 34.5% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass Success % | |
| 3rd Down Rush Success % | 55.6% | 49 | 51.9% | 54 | 46.7% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush Success % | |
| 3rd Down Explosiveness % | 15.2% | 25 | 11.6% | 73 | 10.6% | Opp. 3rd Down Explosiveness % | |
| 3rd Down Conversion % | 41.2% | 48 | 39.3% | 66 | 39.4% | Opp. 3rd Down Conversion % |
Down Analysis: Mississippi State Off. vs. Arkansas Def.
| Category | Mississippi State Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Arkansas Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Down Pass % | 42.1% | 85 | 44.1% | 107 | 38.8% | Opp. 1st Down Pass % |
| 1st Down Rush % | 57.9% | 49 | 55.9% | 27 | 61.2% | Opp. 1st Down Rush % |
| 1st Down Pass Success % | 34.3% | 133 | 49.7% | 123 | 57.9% | Opp. 1st Down Pass Success % |
| 1st Down Rush Success % | 57.6% | 15 | 50.7% | 46 | 45.8% | Opp. 1st Down Rush Success % |
| 1st Down Explosiveness % | 8.8% | 125 | 13.2% | 124 | 16.8% | Opp. 1st Down Explosiveness % |
| 1st Down Overall Success % | 47.8% | 92 | 50.4% | 86 | 50.5% | Opp. 1st Down Overall Success % |
| 2nd Down Pass % | 55.3% | 33 | 49.1% | 93 | 47.4% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass % |
| 2nd Down Rush % | 44.7% | 101 | 50.9% | 41 | 52.6% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush % |
| 2nd Down Pass Success % | 60.3% | 6 | 44.7% | 25 | 36.9% | Opp. 2nd Down Pass Success % |
| 2nd Down Rush Success % | 47.3% | 74 | 48.2% | 38 | 41.7% | Opp. 2nd Down Rush Success % |
| 2nd Down Explosiveness % | 13.8% | 39 | 12.5% | 67 | 11.7% | Opp. 2nd Down Explosiveness % |
| 2nd Down Overall Success % | 54.5% | 10 | 46.7% | 25 | 39.4% | Opp. 2nd Down Overall Success % |
| 3rd Down Pass % | 66.7% | 43 | 62.4% | 48 | 66.7% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass % |
| 3rd Down Rush % | 33.3% | 87 | 37.6% | 90 | 33.3% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush % |
| 3rd Down Pass Success % | 28% | 105 | 34.8% | 58 | 32.3% | Opp. 3rd Down Pass Success % |
| 3rd Down Rush Success % | 48% | 89 | 51.9% | 58 | 48.4% | Opp. 3rd Down Rush Success % |
| 3rd Down Explosiveness % | 16% | 16 | 11.6% | 75 | 10.8% | Opp. 3rd Down Explosiveness % |
| 3rd Down Conversion % | 34.4% | 97 | 39.3% | 84 | 41% | Opp. 3rd Down Conversion % |
Redzone and Goal to Go: Arkansas Off. vs. Mississippi State Def.
| Category | Arkansas Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Mississippi State Def. | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redzone Pass % | 39.1% | 63 | 39.4% | 90 | 36.5% | Opp. Redzone Pass % |
| Redzone Rush % | 60.9% | 69 | 60.6% | 45 | 63.5% | Opp. Redzone Rush % |
| Redzone Pass Success % | 56% | 9 | 38.8% | 119 | 52.6% | Opp. Redzone Pass Success % |
| Redzone Rush Success % | 38.5% | 118 | 51.5% | 125 | 66.7% | Opp. Redzone Rush Success % |
| Redzone FG Atts (Season) | 5 | 75 | 5.4 | 79 | 5 | Opp. Redzone FG Atts (Season) |
| Redzone Plays/TD | 5.3 | 55 | 5.9 | 111 | 4.6 | Opp. Redzone Plays/TD |
| Goal to Go Pass % | 39.1% | 33 | 31.2% | 122 | 17.4% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass % |
| Goal to Go Rush % | 60.9% | 99 | 68.8% | 12 | 82.6% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush % |
| Goal to Go Pass Success % | 44.4% | 44 | 37.5% | 35 | 25% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass Success % |
| Goal to Go Rush Success % | 50% | 84 | 55.4% | 103 | 63.2% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush Success % |
| Goal to Go Plays/TD | 5 | 114 | 3.6 | 98.5 | 2.9 | Opp. Goal to Go Plays/TD |
Redzone and Goal to Go: Mississippi State Off. vs. Arkansas Def.
| Category | Mississippi State Off. | Rank | FBS Avg. | Rank | Arkansas Def. | Category | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redzone Pass % | 36.2% | 85 | 39.4% | 119 | 30.6% | Opp. Redzone Pass % | ||
| Redzone Rush % | 63.8% | 49 | 60.6% | 15 | 69.4% | Opp. Redzone Rush % | ||
| Redzone Pass Success % | 42.9% | 43 | 38.8% | 45 | 31.8% | Opp. Redzone Pass Success % | ||
| Redzone Rush Success % | 56.8% | 47 | 51.5% | 27 | 38% | Opp. Redzone Rush Success % | ||
| Redzone FG Atts (Season) | 4 | 54 | 5.4 | 11 | 9 | Opp. Redzone FG Atts (Season) | ||
| Redzone Plays/TD | 4.9 | 43.5 | 5.9 | 23 | 8.4 | Opp. Redzone Plays/TD | ||
| Goal to Go Pass % | 18.2% | 113 | 31.2% | 119 | 19.4% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass % | ||
| Goal to Go Rush % | 81.8% | 20 | 68.8% | 14 | 80.6% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush % | ||
| Goal to Go Pass Success % | 25% | 93 | 37.5% | 91 | 50% | Opp. Goal to Go Pass Success % | ||
| Goal to Go Rush Success % | 66.7% | 23 | 55.4% | 20 | 32% | Opp. Goal to Go Rush Success % | ||
| Goal to Go Plays/TD | 2.9 | 45.5 | 3.6 | 21 | 5.3 | Opp. Goal to Go Plays/TD |
